[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 180445
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 180444 
KSZ000-OKZ000-180615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1326
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1144 PM CDT THU JUN 17 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SRN KS AND WRN/NRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 492...493...

VALID 180444Z - 180615Z

ISOLATED HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVERNIGHT
ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN KS AND NRN OK.  NEW WW WILL BE ISSUED SHORTLY
ACROSS PORTIONS OF SRN KS/NRN OK.

04Z SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATED A MESO-HIGH EXTENDING FROM SWRN KS
INTO NWRN OK.  A SURFACE LOW WAS LOCATED ALONG THE KS/OK BORDER NEAR
WOODS COUNTY OK WHERE AN OUTFLOW BOUNDARY FROM OK CONVECTION
INTERSECTS A SYNOPTIC SURFACE BOUNDARY EXTENDING E-W ALONG THE OK/KS
BORDER.  LOW-LEVEL WAA ASSOCIATED WITH A 30 KT LLJ NOSING INTO NORTH
CENTRAL OK/SRN KS AND LARGE SCALE ASCENT WITH MID-LEVEL SHORT WAVE
TROUGH TRACKING ENEWD INTO SWRN KS ATTM ARE EXPECTED TO MAINTAIN THE
LARGE FORWARD PROPAGATING MCS ACROSS CENTRAL/SRN KS AND NRN OK
OVERNIGHT.

DAMAGING WIND THREAT IS EXPECTED TO BE GREATEST ACROSS NRN OK...
WITH ONGOING THUNDERSTORMS FROM ALFALFA TO CUSTER COUNTIES MOVING
EWD AT 30-35 KT.  HAIL WILL BE THE PRIMARY THREAT NWD ACROSS KS...
WHERE DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL BE STRONGER...SUPPORTING ELEVATED
SUPERCELLS.

..PETERS.. 06/18/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...TOP...ICT...OUN...DDC...

35509920 36599886 37089954 37740020 38310013 38959887
38809645 37099646 36239669 35529707 

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