[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 150041
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 150041 
NYZ000-150145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1276
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0741 PM CDT MON JUN 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN NY

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 150041Z - 150145Z

ISOLATED STORMS DEVELOPING OVER CNTRL NY ARE BEING MONITORED FOR
SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL. WW 470 MAY NEED TO BE REPLACED BY
ANOTHER WW THAT WILL EXTEND FARTHER DOWNSTREAM INTO CNTRL AND ERN
NY.

A COUPLE OF STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED OVER CNTRL NY NEAR SYRACUSE. THESE
STORMS APPEAR TO HAVE DEVELOPED IN CONVERGENCE ZONE ALONG A BOUNDARY
SHED BY SRN SHORE LAKE ERIE. INSTABILITY IS MARGINAL...AND MAY SERVE
AS A LIMITING FACTOR FOR LARGE HAIL. HOWEVER...VERTICAL WIND
PROFILES EXHIBIT LOW LEVEL VEERING AND DEEP LAYER SHEAR SUFFICIENT
FOR SUPERCELLS.

..DIAL.. 06/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

42157626 43517644 44277476 43377406 

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