[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 130424
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130424 
TXZ000-130600-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1238
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1124 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W-CNTRL INTO N-CNTRL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 455...

VALID 130424Z - 130600Z

GREATEST POTENTIAL FOR PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS EXISTS ACROSS ERN
PORTIONS OF WW AREA. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE MONITORED
FOR POSSIBILITY OF ADDITIONAL DOWNSTREAM WATCH.

AS OF 0412Z...FT. WORTH RADAR DATA INDICATED LEADING EDGE OF GUST
FRONT ASSOCIATED WITH SMALL MCS FROM MONTAGUE COUNTY SWD ACROSS WISE
AND PARKER COUNTIES AND THEN SWWD INTO ERATH COUNTY. THOUGH GUST
FRONT HAS REMAINED RELATIVELY CLOSE TO PARENT STORMS...HIGHER
REFLECTIVITY CORES HAVE WEAKENED OVER THE PAST HALF HOUR.
STRENGTHENING CAP OVER INFLOW AIRMASS SUGGESTED BY RUC ANALYSIS
FIELDS MAY IN PART BE RESPONSIBLE FOR THIS TREND. 

THOUGH AN ISOLATED STRONG WIND GUSTS REMAIN POSSIBLE ALONG GUST
FRONT...IT APPEARS THAT THE POTENTIAL FOR MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING
WINDS IS DIMINISHING. CONVECTIVE TRENDS WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED AND IF IT APPEARS THAT MCS IS RE-ORGANIZING...AN
ADDITIONAL DOWNSTREAM WW MAY BE NECESSARY.

..MEAD.. 06/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...SJT...LUB...MAF...

32990001 32969726 31689864 31660143 

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