[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 130206
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130206 
IAZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-NEZ000-130330-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1235
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0906 PM CDT SAT JUN 12 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN KS INTO NWRN MO

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 453...

VALID 130206Z - 130330Z

POTENTIAL FOR PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL EXISTS ACROSS
CNTRL AND SRN PORTIONS OF WW AREA.

AS OF 0141Z...TOPEKA/KANSAS CITY RADAR DATA INDICATED LEADING EDGE
OF MCS FROM HARRISON/DAVIESS COUNTIES IN NWRN MO SWWD THROUGH
JACKSON/POTTAWATOMIE COUNTIES TO CLOUD COUNTY IN KS. EMBEDDED HP
SUPERCELLS WERE OBSERVED WITHIN THIS SYSTEM...THE MOST NOTABLE OF
WHICH BEING OVER HARRISON/DAVIESS COUNTIES AND HOLT/ANDREW COUNTIES
MO. OVERALL SYSTEM MOVEMENT IS TO THE SE AT AROUND 35KTS...WITH
EXTRAPOLATION SUGGESTING THAT KANSAS CITY METRO AREA WILL BE
IMPACTED BY 0300-0330Z.

STRENGTHENING SWLY LLJ FROM ERN KS INTO WRN MO OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF HOURS WILL ACT TO ENHANCE STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW OF VERY UNSTABLE
AIRMASS INTO LEADING EDGE OF SYSTEM. DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL
APPEAR TO BE THE PRIMARY SEVERE WEATHER THREATS. HOWEVER...ISOLATED
TORNADOES REMAIN POSSIBLE...BOTH IN ASSOCIATION WITH EMBEDDED
SUPERCELLS AND NON-DESCENDING VARIETY ALONG LEADING EDGE OF GUST
FRONT.

..MEAD.. 06/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...OAX...TOP...ICT...GID...DDC...

40669843 40619213 38099304 38079912 

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