[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 112303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 112302 
VAZ000-NCZ000-WVZ000-TNZ000-KYZ000-120100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1198
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CDT FRI JUN 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN KY...SRN/SWRN VA...NRN NC...FAR NERN TN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 437...

VALID 112302Z - 120100Z

CONTINUE WW.

AT 2250Z...LEADING ARC OF STRONG TO EMBEDDED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS
EXTENDED FROM RIC WSWWD INTO FAR SWRN VA AND FAR ERN KY. STRONG COLD
POOL ASSOCIATED WITH THESE STORMS AND 30KT NWLY MID-LEVEL FLOW WILL
MAINTAIN SEWD MOTION OF LINE ACROSS FAR SRN VA INTO FAR NRN NC
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. BACKDOOR COLD FRONT MOVING INLAND ACROSS
FAR ERN/SERN VA WILL LIKELY LIMIT THE ERN EXTENT OF THE SEVERE
THREAT OWING TO MORE STABLE MARINE AIR. WEST OF THIS
BOUNDARY...MODERATE INSTABILITY WILL BE MAINTAINED DURING NEXT 1-3
HOURS PRIOR TO BOUNDARY LAYER COOLING AND STABILIZATION. AN ISOLATED
SEVERE THREAT MAY EXTEND INTO FAR NRN NC LATER THIS
EVENING...HOWEVER...OVERALL INTENSITY OF CONVECTIVE SYSTEM SHOULD
DECREASE WITH LOSS OF DAYTIME HEATING AND ADDITIONAL WW MAY NOT BE
NEEDED. REGION SOUTH OF ONGOING ACTIVITY WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED. IN THE MEANTIME...THREAT OF LOCALIZED DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL WITH STRONGER CORES IS EXPECTED ACROSS SRN VA WWD INTO
FAR ERN KY...WITH LINE MOTION GENERALLY 315/30 KT.

..BANACOS.. 06/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...LWX...RAH...RNK...RLX...GSP...MRX...JKL...

35777729 35537969 35758169 36878335 37708316 37898156
37977922 37917769 37007694 36207687 

WWWW