[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 110119
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110119 
MNZ000-NEZ000-SDZ000-110245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1181
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0819 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/ERN SD INTO N-CNTRL/NERN NEB

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 428...430...

VALID 110119Z - 110245Z

WW/S 427 AND 430 WILL BE REPLACED WITH A NEW WW WITHIN THE HOUR.

AS OF 0100Z...REGIONAL RADAR MOSAIC INDICATED EVOLVING QUASI-LINEAR
MCS FROM NEAR MBG SWD TO E OF VTN TO NW OF BBW. WHILE LBF
REFLECTIVITY LOOP SHOWS THE PRESENCE OF EMBEDDED SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES...COMPOSITE OUTFLOW BOUNDARY HAS SURGED E OF PARENT
STORMS. AS STRONG SHORTWAVE TROUGH CONTINUES TO LIFT NEWD OUT OF
NERN CO...EXPECT MCS TO BEGIN TO ACCELERATE EWD ACROSS ERN SD AND
CNTRL/ERN NEB. SLY LLJ CURRENTLY STRENGTHENING FROM N-CNTRL OK NWD
ACROSS CNTRL PORTIONS OF KS/NEB WILL MAINTAIN FEED OF MODERATELY
UNSTABLE AIR INTO SYSTEM. THIS COUPLED WITH 45-55KT SWLY MID-LEVEL
JET PROPAGATING NEWD ACROSS CNTRL/ERN KS/NEB WILL PROMOTE AN
ORGANIZED SYSTEM WITH EMBEDDED SUPERCELLS/BOWS. THE POTENTIAL FOR
PRIMARILY DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL EXIST WITH THE MOST
INTENSE STORMS.

..MEAD.. 06/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MPX...FSD...OAX...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...

41070039 45030021 44969643 41139690