[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102308 
NEZ000-110045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1177
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0608 PM CDT THU JUN 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...N-CNTRL/CNTRL NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102308Z - 110045Z

NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR SO E OF WW
425.

AS OF 22Z...MESOANALYSIS SHOWED 996MB SURFACE LOW W OF IML WITH
ATTENDANT WARM FRONT EXTENDING EWD ALONG THE PLATTE RIVER VALLEY
/ROUGHLY FROM N OF LBF TO NEAR BBW TO N OF GRI/. TRAILING DRYLINE
THEN STRETCHED SWD/SEWD INTO NWRN KS /W OF HLC/. ENVIRONMENT NE OF
SURFACE LOW AND N OF WARM FRONT REMAINS QUITE FAVORABLE FOR
SUPERCELLS WITH VERY LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED TORNADOES.
HERE...MLCAPES OF 1500-2500 J/KG ARE JUXTAPOSITIONED WITH 35-45KT
0-6KM SHEAR / 100-150 M2/S2 0-1KM SRH AND FAVORABLY LOW LFC/LCL
HEIGHTS.

LONG-LIVED SUPERCELL OVER ERN ARTHUR/WRN MCPHERSON COUNTIES
CONTINUES TO MOVE EWD/NEWD AT 30KTS AND SHOULD APPROACH ERN PORTIONS
OF WW 425 BY 0000-0030Z. ADDITIONAL STORMS FORMING OVER CNTRL CHERRY
COUNTY WILL POSE A SEVERE WEATHER THREAT AS THEY CONTINUE TO
INTENSIFY.

A NEW WW WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED E OF WW 425 WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR OR
SO.

..MEAD.. 06/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OAX...GID...LBF...

42950082 42949858 41079803 41070028 

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