[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 092022
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 092021 
NHZ000-VTZ000-NYZ000-092115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1160
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0321 PM CDT WED JUN 09 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN AND CNTRL NY/WRN VT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 413...

VALID 092021Z - 092115Z

...WW 413 WILL LIKELY BE REPLACED...

COLD FRONT STILL LIES NORTHWEST OF THE AREA...ALONG WITH MORE
STRONG/SVR STORMS WHICH HAVE FORMED ALONG AND EAST OF THE FRONT.
DEEP LAYER SHEAR FROM LATEST OBSERVATIONAL ANALYSIS SUGGESTS VALUES
REMAIN AROUND 30-35 KT...WITHIN A MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS / 2500
J/KG / IN THE WARM SECTOR. THE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO WRN NY/VT AND
BE WELL MAINTAINED WITHIN MDT WLY FLOW ALOFT. A NEW WW WILL BE
ISSUED WITHIN THE NEXT HOUR.

..TAYLOR.. 06/09/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GYX...BTV...ALY...BGM...BUF...

43467229 42377746 43937747 45087226 

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