[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 082303
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 082302 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-090100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1145
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0602 PM CDT TUE JUN 08 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN CO...NW KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 410...

VALID 082302Z - 090100Z

CONTINUE WW.

PRE-FRONTAL THERMAL RIDGE...EXTENDING FROM EAST CENTRAL COLORADO
THROUGH AREAS NEAR GOODLAND KS/NORTH PLATTE NEB...IS BECOMING FOCUS
FOR INCREASING CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT. THIS APPEARS TO BE IN
RESPONSE TO INCREASING LIFT IN CAPPING LAYER...ASSOCIATED WITH WEAK
MID/UPPER SHORT WAVE MIGRATING NORTHEASTWARD ACROSS THE CENTRAL
ROCKIES.  STRONG HEATING WITH SURFACE TEMPERATURES REACHING THE MID
90S HAS CONTRIBUTED TO WEAKENING INHIBITION...AS HAS NORTHWESTWARD
ADVECTION OF LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE INTO VICINITY OF THERMAL RIDGE AXIS.


FURTHER INCREASE/INTENSIFICATION WILL CONTINUE SOUTHWEST OF GOODLAND
KS INTO THE IMPERIAL NEB AREA...WITH POTENTIAL FOR LARGE  HAIL/
DAMAGING DOWNBURSTS IN MODERATELY UNSTABLE ENVIRONMENT WITH DEEP
MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER.

OTHER STRONG/SEVERE STORMS DEVELOPING NORTHEAST OF COLORADO SPRINGS
APPEAR TO BE IN MOIST POST-FRONTAL UPSLOPE ENVIRONMENT... WHERE
STRONG VEERING WITH HEIGHT OF LOW/MID-LEVEL WIND FIELDS MAY BE
SUPPORTIVE OF AT LEAST BRIEF UPDRAFT ROTATION. THIS WILL ENHANCE
THREAT FOR LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WITH THIS ACTIVITY...WHICH
WILL LIKELY BE SLOW TO WEAKEN/PROPAGATE AWAY FROM THE PALMER RIDGE.

..KERR.. 06/08/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...

39730466 39930416 39830366 39750293 40480210 40910161
40620110 39840181 39030234 38590250 38410297 38580348
38830466 

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