[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 071653
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 071652 
NCZ000-SCZ000-GAZ000-FLZ000-ALZ000-071915-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1130
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1152 AM CDT MON JUN 07 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN FL...ERN AL....GA...SRN SC...SERN NC

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 071652Z - 071915Z

MULTICELL CONVECTION SHOULD CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS THE DEEP
SOUTH/SOUTHEAST AND FL THROUGH THE AFTERNOON. WHILE ACTIVITY WILL
GENERALLY BE POORLY ORGANIZED...ANTICIPATED STORM COVERAGE SUGGESTS
A LOW PROBABILITY DAMAGING WIND HAZARD. NO WATCH IS CURRENTLY
ANTICIPATED BUT STORM EVOLUTION IN THIS REGION WILL CONTINUE TO BE
MONITORED.

MOIST AIRMASS WAS IN PLACE ACROSS THE SOUTH AND SOUTHEAST THIS
AFTERNOON WITH SFC DEWPOINTS AROUND 70F. STRONGEST SFC HEATING PER
VIS IMAGERY AND LATEST OBS WAS OCCURRING FROM SRN GA INTO CNTRL SC
WHERE A WEAK THERMAL TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED. CONVECTION WAS DEVELOPING
ALONG THIS TROUGH ACROSS GA...AS WELL AS ALONG THE GULF BREEZE OVER
NRN FL...AND ON RESIDUAL BACKDOOR FRONT ACROSS SERN NC. VIS IMAGERY
ALSO SUGGESTS A SMALL SCALE MID LEVEL CIRCULATION ASSOCIATED WITH
THE STORMS OVER GA...AND A LARGER SCALE UPSTREAM IMPULSE OVER NRN
AL. WHILE DEEP SHEAR ACROSS THE REGION IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
MARGINAL TO SUPPORT MORE ORGANIZED TSTMS... ABUNDANT LOW LEVEL
FORCING MECHANISMS COUPLED WITH MID LEVEL IMPULSES AND STRONG CAPE
SHOULD SUPPORT INCREASINGLY WIDESPREAD STORMS. BOUNDARY INTERACTIONS
AND MODEST THETAE LAPSE RATES WILL RESULT IN A FEW INTENSE CELLS
ACCOMPANIED BY DAMAGING MICROBURST WINDS.

..CARBIN.. 06/07/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...TBW...JAX...FFC...TAE...BMX...

28988246 30918499 31658591 32828633 33988511 33848204
34717841 34337776 33937866 32408090 31388178 29978156 

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