[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060640
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060640 
TXZ000-060815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1112
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0140 AM CDT SUN JUN 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 403...

VALID 060640Z - 060815Z

ORGANIZED / MARGINALLY-SEVERE BOWING MCS CONTINUES MOVING SSEWD
ACROSS CENTRAL TX AT 40 TO 45 KT.  WITH THIS SYSTEM FORECAST TO MOVE
OUT OF THE WATCH IN THE 07-08Z TIME FRAME...NEW WW IS BEING
CONSIDERED DOWNSTREAM OF WW 403.

LATEST DATA INDICATED INSTABILITY AXIS ACROSS CENTRAL TX SE OF
FAIRLY-WELL ORGANIZED MCS MOVING ACROSS THIS REGION.  WITHIN THE
PAST HOUR...A 60 MPH GUST WAS REPORTED WITH THIS BOWING LINE...AND
GIVEN DECENT STORM-RELATIVE INFLOW AND DEGREE OF ORGANIZATION ON THE
MESOSCALE...EXPECT STORMS TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  

ATTM...EXPECT SEVERE THREAT TO REMAIN MARGINAL...AND GIVEN SOME
DECREASE IN REFLECTIVITY WITHIN THE LINE NOTED OVER THE PAST HALF
HOUR...SOME QUESTION EXISTS AS TO THE NEED FOR NEW WW. WE WILL
CONTINUE TO MONITOR CONVECTIVE EVOLUTION OVER THE NEXT HOUR OR SO.

..GOSS.. 06/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...HGX...FWD...OUN...EWX...SJT...MAF...

33579930 33339815 32509698 30619658 30019803 30249881
32450122 32599991 

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