[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 050105
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 050104 
SDZ000-NDZ000-NEZ000-KSZ000-OKZ000-TXZ000-050300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1092
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0804 PM CDT FRI JUN 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PLAINS...TX PNHDL INTO  CNTRL/ERN ND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 396...397...

VALID 050104Z - 050300Z

WWS WILL BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED AT 02Z. 

WITH ONSET OF STRONGER RADIATIONAL SURFACE COOLING DURING THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO...PRIMARY FORCING FOR CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT WILL BE
LOW-LEVEL WARM ADVECTION ALONG STRENGTHENING SOUTHERLY LOW-LEVEL JET
AXIS.  THOUGH ACTIVITY WILL BE BASED ABOVE DEEPENING INVERSION
LAYER...EVAPORATIVE COOLING NEAR WEAKENING/DISSIPATING RAIN CORES
MAY STILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF STRONG...GUSTY SURFACE WINDS FOR ANOTHER
HOUR OR TWO BEYOND WATCH EXPIRATION.  AS ACTIVITY CONTINUES TO
DEVELOP AWAY FROM STEEPER LAPSE RATE ENVIRONMENT NEAR THE HIGHER
TERRAIN...RISK OF LARGE HAIL SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH.

..KERR.. 06/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FGF...FSD...ICT...OUN...ABR...GID...BIS...LBF...DDC...UNR...GLD...AMA...

47280019 47779893 46869717 44839695 43409858 40959910
37829864 35889973 35750172 37220124 38370169 40470191
43540233 44970123 

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