[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 040101
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 040101 
NMZ000-TXZ000-040230-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1078
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0801 PM CDT THU JUN 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 040101Z - 040230Z

...THUNDERSTORMS WILL CONTINUE TO INCREASE ACROSS PORTIONS OF
CENTRAL/SRN NM...

MOIST SELY FLOW HAS FORCED HIGHER BOUNDARY LAYER DEW POINTS WEST OF
THE MOUNTAINS INTO PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/SOUTH CENTRAL NM.  STRONG
HEATING HAS AIDED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THIS REGION WHERE
SCATTERED SUPERCELLS HAVE RECENTLY EVOLVED FROM TORRANCE COUNTY TO
DONA ANA COUNTY.  NWLY DEEP LAYER SHEAR VECTORS SUPPORT STORM
ROTATION AND ORGANIZATION AS THIS ACTIVITY SPREADS SEWD OVER THE
NEXT FEW HOURS.  ONE NEGATIVE FOR LONG-LIVED MCS EVOLUTION IS THE
WEAKER INSTABILITY LOCATED ACROSS SERN NM.  IN THE SHORT TERM LARGE
HAIL OR GUSTY WINDS MAY ACCOMPANY THIS CONVECTION UNTIL DIURNAL
COOLING DAMPENS UPDRAFT STRENGTH.

..DARROW.. 06/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABQ...EPZ...

31830733 34630636 34180461 32020501 

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