[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Thu Jun 3 21:32:38 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 032130
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 032129 
SDZ000-NEZ000-WYZ000-032300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1075
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0429 PM CDT THU JUN 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FAR ERN WY/SW SD/NW NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 032129Z - 032300Z

LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND THREAT ACROSS FAR ERN WY/SW SD/NW NEB LATE
THIS AFTERNOON/EVENING. WW MAY BE REQUIRED SOON.

CU/TCU CONTINUE TO DEVELOP FROM NE WY INTO BLACK HILLS REGION OF
SD/NRN NEB PANHANDLE. ORGANIZED MULTICELL CLUSTERS AND/OR ISOLD
SUPERCELLS ARE LIKELY TO EVOLVE...WITH MODEST SLY FLOW BENEATH W/NW
FLOW ALOFT CONTRIBUTING TO 30-40 KTS OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR PER
MERRIMAN NEB PROFILER/LATEST RUC GUIDANCE  LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE WITH
MOST VIGOROUS ACTIVITY OWING TO STEEP MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES /8.0C OR
GREATER/ AND MLCAPE OF 500-1000 J/KG. WELL MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
/30-40F SFC T-TD SPREADS/ SUGGESTS DAMAGING WIND THREAT AS WELL.
INCREASING SLY LOW LEVEL JET THIS EVENING SUGGESTS SEVERE THREAT MAY
CONTINUE INTO THE EVENING.

..GUYER.. 06/03/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...ABR...LBF...UNR...CYS...

42160455 42900481 44140478 44660423 44660225 44110060
42440070 41910109 42050352 

WWWW





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