[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 031948
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 031948 
NEZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-WYZ000-032145-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1073
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0248 PM CDT THU JUN 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SE WY/NEB PANHANDLE/ERN CO/FAR NE NM

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 031948Z - 032145Z

ISOLD SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND DAMAGING WIND THREAT EXPECTED
TO DEVELOP THIS AFTERNOON ACROSS PORTIONS OF SE WY/ERN CO/FAR NE NM
AND INTO THE NEB PANHANDLE. WW WILL LIKELY BE NEEDED.

HIGH BASED SUPERCELLS ARE EXPECTED TO EVOLVE THIS AFTERNOON AS
STORMS DEVELOP/PROPAGATE OFF THE HIGHER TERRAIN. 18Z RUC SUGGESTS
MLCAPE ON THE ORDER OF 1000-1750 J/KG WILL DEVELOP ACROSS THE HIGH
PLAINS OF SE WY/ERN CO/FAR NE NM BY LATE THIS AFTERNOON/EARLY
EVENING. S/SE BOUNDARY LAYER UPSLOPE TRAJECTORIES BENEATH W/NW MID
AND UPPER FLOW WILL CONTRIBUTE TO DEEP LAYER SHEAR OF 40-45 KTS OR
GREATER... SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS. LARGE HAIL LIKELY MAIN HAZARD
OWING TO MAGNITUDE OF SHEAR AND MODERATE INSTABILITY...WITH DAMAGING
WINDS A POSSIBILITY GIVEN INITIAL DEEPLY MIXED BOUNDARY LAYER
PROFILES. HIGH LCLS/LFCS WILL TEND TO LIMIT TORNADO
POTENTIAL...ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL ENCOUNTER DEEPER MOISTURE AS THEY
PROGRESS EWD ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS.

..GUYER.. 06/03/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LBF...GLD...PUB...BOU...CYS...ABQ...

39200530 42590524 42820410 42590224 40650206 37540234
36980305 36340340 36320393 36500503 37500531 

WWWW