[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 030628
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030628 
LAZ000-MSZ000-TXZ000-030800-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1068
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0128 AM CDT THU JUN 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EAST TX...SRN LA...SRN MS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 388...389...

VALID 030628Z - 030800Z

LEADING LARGE SCALE BOW ECHO COMPLEX CONTINUES TO MOVE
EAST/SOUTHEAST AT 20-30KT INTO LOW LEVEL THETA-E RIDGE/INSTABILITY
AXIS ACROSS THE LWR MS VLY/MS DELTA REGION. WHILE A FEW STRONG TO
SEVERE WIND GUSTS REMAIN PSBL ALONG THE ARC OF DEEP CONVECTION...
OVERALL WEAKENING TREND IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ALONG MUCH OF THE
BOW AS THE LINE DRIFTS SOUTH OF THE STRONGER MID LEVEL FLOW.

ADDITIONAL LINES/CLUSTERS OF TSTMS DEVELOP UPSTREAM FROM THE LARGER
BOW COMPLEX...ACROSS AREAS OF NCNTRL/CNTRL TX. THIS ACTVITY WAS
FORMING ATOP THE TRAILING COLD POOL LEFT IN THE WAKE OF EARLIER DEEP
CONVECTION. LOW LEVEL ASCENT AND INSTABILITY FLUX INTO THESE REGIONS
AND STRONG DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL CONTINUE TO SUPPORT VIGOROUS
UPDRAFTS AND SOME POTENTIAL FOR WIND AND LARGE HAIL WITH THIS
ACTIVITY. NO ADDITIONAL WATCHES ARE PLANNED AT THIS TIME.

..CARBIN.. 06/03/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...JAN...LIX...LCH...SHV...HGX...

33169045 31909040 31918998 29759002 28599498 30839497
31509172 33119055 

WWWW