[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 022020
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 022019 
TXZ000-022215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1058
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0319 PM CDT WED JUN 02 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...W AND SW TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 022019Z - 022215Z

WW MAY BE NEEDED SOON.

CONVECTION DEVELOPING ALONG THE DRYLINE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS IT
SPREADS EWD. SUPERCELLS WITH LARGE HAIL AND ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND
WILL BE THE MAIN THREATS. 

THIS AFTERNOON THE ATMOSPHERE HAS BECOME VERY UNSTABLE E OF DRYLINE
ACROSS W TX WITH MLCAPE FROM 2500 TO 3500 J/KG. LATEST VISIBLE
IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS INCREASING ALONG THE DRYLINE ACROSS W TX AND
DEEP CONVECTION APPEARS IMMINENT. OTHER STORMS ARE DEVELOPING OVER
THE MOUNTAINS OF SW TX. STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO INTENSIFY AS THEY
SPREAD EWD INTO THE AXIS OF STRONGER INSTABILITY. MID LEVEL FLOW IS
NOT PARTICULARLY STRONG...GENERALLY AOB 25 KT. HOWEVER...SELY LOW
LEVEL FLOW VEERING TO WNWLY AOA 6 KM IS SUPPORTING DEEP SHEAR
SUFFICIENT FOR SUPERCELLS.

..DIAL.. 06/02/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

32460217 34780187 34640024 33419991 30700144 30310267 

WWWW