[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 222342
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222342 
OHZ000-KYZ000-MIZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-230115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1768
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0642 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IL...INDIANA...CENTRAL KY...WRN OH...EXTREME
NRN TN AND SERN MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 667...668...

VALID 222342Z - 230115Z

THREAT FOR ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE CONTINUES WITH STRONGEST 
CELLS...PARTICULARLY OVER ERN IN / WRN OH...SRN IL AND CENTRAL KY.  


STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS WILL MOVE INTO WRN OHIO WHICH IS E OF WW
667.  HOWEVER...LATEST SURFACE ANALYSIS INDICATES STRONG PRESSURE
RISES WELL AHEAD OF CONVECTIVE OUTFLOW...INDICATING STORMS MIGHT BE
ENCOUNTERING A LESS FAVORABLE ENVIRONMENT FOR FURTHER GROWTH OR
INTENSIFICATION DESPITE STRONGLY UNSTABLE AIR MASS OVER WRN OH. 
THEREFORE...ONLY ISOLATED SEVERE IS EXPECTED...AND AN ADDITIONAL WW
MAY NOT BE REQUIRED.

FARTHER SOUTH...STORMS CONTINUE TO FORWARD PROPAGATE OVER WRN
KY...AND WILL LIKELY ENTER INTO EXTREME NRN TN OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL
HOURS. THINKING IS THAT THESE STORMS WILL WEAKEN BY THE TIME THEY
EXIT SRN PART OF WW 668...SO THAT AN ADDITIONAL WW WILL NOT BE
REQUIRED.

..JEWELL.. 07/22/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RLX...CLE...JKL...ILN...DTX...LMK...IWX...OHX...IND...PAH...ILX...MEG...LSX...

37688939 38688929 38658786 38848642 40598546 42018502
42008322 41978242 39788288 38418319 36658473 36328633
36378801 37298879 

WWWW