[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 222309
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 222308 
ILZ000-MOZ000-KSZ000-230045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1766
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0608 PM CDT THU JUL 22 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EAST CENTRAL KS/CENTRAL MO/PORTION OF FAR SWRN IL

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 222308Z - 230045Z

ISOLATED DAMAGING WIND GUSTS AND/OR MARGINALLY SEVERE HAIL WILL BE
POSSIBLE FROM EAST CENTRAL KS EWD ACROSS CENTRAL MO TO FAR SWRN IL
IN THE VICINITY OF STL.  WW NOT ANTICIPATED GIVEN SHORT DURATION OF
SEVERE THREAT.

REGIONAL RADARS SHOW SCATTERED STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED DURING THE LAST
HOUR ACROSS THE AREA OF CONCERN.  SURFACE ANALYSES SHOW A WEAK
BOUNDARY ORIENTED E-W IS MOVING TO SLOWLY TO THE SOUTH INTO A
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIR MASS.  THIS ACTIVITY IS ALONG THE SRN FRINGE
OF STRONG MID-LEVEL FLOW LOCATED ACROSS THE UPPER MS VALLEY WHICH IS
EXPECTED TO SUPPORT A FEW ORGANIZED STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS DURING
THE NEXT 2-3 HOURS.  AFTER SUNSET...THE SEVERE THREAT IS EXPECTED TO
DIMINISH AS THE BOUNDARY LAYER BEGINS TO STABILIZE.

..PETERS.. 07/22/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...SGF...EAX...TOP...ICT...

38599642 39029597 39099343 39169166 39098994 38438980
37759033 37839322 37799511 37919610 

WWWW