[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 211518
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 211518 
OHZ000-MIZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-211645-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1749
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1018 AM CDT WED JUL 21 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN/ECNTRL IL...NRN THIRD OF IND...NWRN OH AND SRN
LOWER MI

CONCERNING...OUTLOOK UPGRADE 

VALID 211518Z - 211645Z

PARTS OF NERN/ECNTRL IL...THE NRN THIRD OF IND...NWRN OH AND SRN
LOWER MI WILL BE UPGRADED TO A MODERATE RISK ON THE 1630Z DAY 1
UPDATE.  18Z SOUNDINGS HAVE BEEN REQUESTED AT ILX/APX/DTX.  

WELL-DEFINED MCV CONTINUES TO MOVE ACROSS SRN IA AND PROFILERS/VWP
SHOW 30-40 KT MIDLEVEL FLOW ASSOCIATED WITH THE FEATURE.  TSTMS HAVE
ALREADY DEVELOPED ACROSS PARTS OF CNTRL/SRN IA AND NRN IL AND WILL
LIKELY INCREASE AS BOUNDARY LAYER HEATING CONTINUES.  THESE TSTMS
WILL BE EMBEDDED IN INCREASING WLY FLOW REGIME AS THE MCV TRACKS EWD
THIS AFTERNOON.  THUS...THERE WILL BE A POTENTIAL FOR ONE OR MORE
BOW ECHOES TO EVOLVE ACROSS THE CNTRL GREAT LAKES AND UPPER MIDWEST.
 HIGHEST WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL...WITH SOME GUSTS EXCEEDING 70
KTS...WILL BE ACROSS THE MODERATE RISK AREA.

..RACY.. 07/21/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...CLE...ILN...DTX...IWX...GRR...IND...LOT...ILX...DVN...

42038970 43088445 42568305 41538319 40508444 40348846
41048991 

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