[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 190344
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190343 
SDZ000-NEZ000-190445-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1729
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1043 PM CDT SUN JUL 18 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ND...NRN AND CNTRL MN AND NERN SD

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 653...

VALID 190343Z - 190445Z

SURFACE BASED SUPERCELLS SHOULD CONTINUE TO DIMINISH ACROSS SERN ND.
OTHER STORMS MAY DEVELOP FARTHER EAST ACROSS NRN MN WITHIN THE NEXT
HOUR OR TWO...BUT THESE STORMS WILL LIKELY BE ELEVATED WITH THREAT
OF MAINLY HAIL. WW 653 WILL LIKELY BE CANCELLED BY 04Z. 

SUPERCELL STORMS CONTINUE TO DIMINISH AS THEY ENCOUNTER AN
INCREASINGLY HOSTILE ENVIRONMENT WITH STRONG CONVECTIVE INHIBITION
ACROSS SERN ND INTO NRN SD. FOCUS FOR NEW DEVELOPMENT WILL LIKELY
SHIFT EAST INTO MN WHERE WEAKER CAP AND LIFT ASSOCIATED WITH WARM
ADVECTION MAY PROMOTE THE DEVELOPMENT OF NEW STORMS CAPABLE OF
PRODUCING HAIL.

..DIAL.. 07/19/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...GID...LBF...UNR...

43450050 44440148 44970178 45410136 45840063 45519993
44099913 41699833 41419941 

WWWW