[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 152308
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 152308 
NEZ000-KSZ000-160045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1697
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0608 PM CDT THU JUL 15 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SWRN NEB

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 152308Z - 160045Z

POTENTIAL FOR DAMAGING WINDS/LARGE HAIL IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST FOR
THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS AND A WW MAY BE REQUIRED.

AS OF 2252Z...NORTH PLATTE RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS INTENSE LINE OF
STORMS OVER SRN CUSTER COUNTY WWD INTO CNTRL PORTIONS OF LINCOLN
COUNTY. EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS SHORT LINE WAS A SUPERCELL OVER S-CNTRL
CUSTER COUNTY /S OF BBW/. LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SUGGESTS THAT
THIS LINE OF STORMS IS MOVING/DEVELOPING SWD THROUGH AXIS OF
STRONGEST INSTABILITY WHERE MLCAPES HAVE INCREASED TO AROUND 4000
J/KG.

THOUGH RED WILLOW NEB PROFILER SHOWS COMPARATIVELY WEAKER MID-LEVEL
FLOW THAN PROFILER SITES OVER ERN NEB...DEGREE OF INSTABILITY WILL
SUPPORT ORGANIZED SEVERE STORMS CAPABLE OF DAMAGING WINDS/HAIL.
STORMS SHOULD CONTINUE TO PROPAGATE SWD TOWARD THE KS BORDER WITH
SOME ADDITIONAL WWD DEVELOPMENT STILL POSSIBLE.

EITHER AN ADDITIONAL WW OR REPLACEMENT WW MAY BE REQUIRED WITHIN THE
HOUR.

..MEAD.. 07/15/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...GLD...

40960190 41059943 40029947 39960194 

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