[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 132334
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132334 
MOZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-KSZ000-140130-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1653
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0634 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN/CNTRL MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 132334Z - 140130Z

...AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A WW...

CONVECTIVE CLUSTER N/NE OF KANSAS CITY IS MOVING INTO AN AIRMASS
WHICH IS EXTREMELY UNSTABLE...CHARACTERIZED BY MLCAPE VALUES OF
3500-4000+ J/KG. CONVECTIVE INHIBITION IS RELATIVELY WEAK AND WITH
MODERATE NWLY MID LEVEL FLOW...STORMS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SE
AROUND 20 KT. LATEST WV IMAGERY SUGGESTS SHORTWAVE TROUGH IS MOVING
ACROSS THE AREA NOW...SO THIS WILL ONLY HELP ONGOING CONVECTION
SUSTAIN ITSELF. TSTM NEAR STJ HAS INTENSIFIED RECENTLY...AND GIVEN
SIMILAR TRENDS...A WW MAY BE NEEDED SHORTLY ACROSS PORTIONS OF
NRN/CNTRL MO.

..TAYLOR.. 07/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PAH...LSX...DVN...SGF...DMX...EAX...

37189121 38619459 40049532 40589383 40479145 38939076
37658993 

WWWW