[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 132151
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132150 
SDZ000-MTZ000-WYZ000-132345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1649
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0450 PM CDT TUE JUL 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NERN WY...SERN MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 132150Z - 132345Z

ISOLATED SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS MAY DEVELOP ACROSS NORTHEAST WY DURING
THE NEXT FEW HOURS.  AREA IS BEING MONITORED FOR A POSSIBLE WW.

VISIBLE SATELLITE AND RADAR IMAGERY SHOW ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS
BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG THE BIG HORN MTNS IN SHERIDAN/JOHNSON
COUNTIES WY.  THIS AREA IS BENEATH FLAT UPPER RIDGE AXIS...BUT
WITHIN MODERATELY STRONG WESTERLY MID LEVEL WINDS /30-35 KNOTS AT
500MB/.  SOUTHEASTERLY LOW LEVEL WINDS IN THIS REGION AND SURFACE
DEWPOINTS IN THE LOW/MID 50S ARE PROVIDING A FAVORABLE THERMODYNAMIC
AND SHEAR ENVIRONMENT FOR ORGANIZED/SUPERCELL STORMS.  AREAL
COVERAGE AND EASTWARD EXTENT OF CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT REMAIN
UNCERTAIN AT THIS TIME.  HOWEVER...THIS AREA WILL BE MONITORED FOR
THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS FOR FURTHER INTENSIFICATION AND POSSIBLE WW
ISSUANCE.

..HART.. 07/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...UNR...CYS...BYZ...RIW...

44530713 45350690 45430536 45190465 44810413 43830405
43080434 43210627 43540693 

WWWW