[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 110540
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 110540 
NDZ000-MTZ000-110615-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1612
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 AM CDT SUN JUL 11 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ECNTRL MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 600...

VALID 110540Z - 110615Z

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 600 IS SET TO EXPIRE AT 0600 UTC AND WILL
LIKELY NOT BE REISSUED.

CONVECTIVE CLUSTER ACROSS ECNTRL MT CONTINUES DOWNSTREAM OF MIDLEVEL
SPEED MAX ASSOCIATED WITH UPPER LOW OVER THE PAC NW.  THE TSTMS ARE
LIKELY TO MOVE DOWNSTREAM ALONG WEAK E-W ORIENTED FRONT SITUATED
FROM ECNTRL MT INTO SRN ND THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...AIDED BY WARM
ADVECTION ON NOSE OF SELY LLJ. RUC40 FORECAST SOUNDINGS SUGGEST
QUITE A SUBSTANTIAL DRY LAYER EXISTS JUST ABOVE THE SURFACE AND
THERE COULD BE ISOLD DAMAGING WIND GUSTS ALONG WITH HAIL ASSOCIATED
WITH THE STRONGER STORMS.  

COVERAGE SEEMS SPARSE ENOUGH TO NOT REQUIRE A NEW WW DOWNSTREAM. 
HOWEVER...IF SIGNS OF INTENSIFICATION ARE NOTED...ONE MAY BE
REQUIRED.

..RACY.. 07/11/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...BIS...BYZ...GGW...

46240714 47420716 47740415 46940247 46170245 45850490
45970663 

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