[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102036
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102035 
MNZ000-SDZ000-102200-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1597
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0335 PM CDT SAT JUL 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL/ERN SD

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102035Z - 102200Z

CONVECTION INTENSIFYING OVER WRN/CENTRAL SD SHOULD CONTINUE TO POSE
A SEVERE THREAT AS IT MOVES EAST OF WW 596. THUS A NEW WW WILL
LIKELY BE NEEDED FOR PORTIONS OF CENTRAL/ERN SD BY 22Z.

RAPIDLY DEVELOPING CONVECTION INCLUDING A FEW INCIPIENT SUPERCELLS
WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE ENEWD AROUND 20 KTS OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
LEAD CELL OVER STANLEY COUNTY WILL MOVE OUT OF WW 596 BY AROUND 23Z.
MODERATE TO HIGH INSTABILITY DOWNSTREAM OF WW 596 OVER THE REMAINDER
OF CENTRAL/ERN SD WITH MLCAPES AROUND 3000 J/KG AND MINIMAL
INHIBITION SHOULD SUPPORT A CONTINUED SEVERE THREAT INTO THIS AREA
LATER THIS AFTERNOON.

..CROSBIE.. 07/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FSD...ABR...UNR...

43099973 44480002 45839969 45919726 45829680 44449677
43129724