[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 062135
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062134 
MIZ000-062300-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1547
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0434 PM CDT TUE JUL 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CNTRL/SRN LOWER MI

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 062134Z - 062300Z

TSTMS ARE EXPECTED TO DEVELOP ACROSS CNTRL/SRN LOWER MI REMAINDER OF
THE AFTERNOON...WW MAY BE NEEDED WITHIN THE HOUR.

AIRMASS ACROSS SRN LOWER MI CONTINUES TO DESTABILIZE...WITH MLCAPE
ON THE ORDER OF 1000-1500 J/KG AND NEGLIGIBLE CINH PER LATEST
OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS AND MODIFIED 18Z DTX SOUNDING. STRONG AMBIENT
WIND FIELDS /SUPPORTED BY 40 KT WLY MID LEVEL FLOW/ WILL BE
FAVORABLE FOR AN ORGANIZED SEVERE THREAT...INCLUDING SUPERCELLS.
MAIN HAZARD LIKELY TO BE DAMAGING WINDS...WITH LARGE HAIL POSSIBLE
AS WELL. THREAT FOR AN ISOLD TORNADO OR TWO WILL ALSO
EXIST...PARTICULARLY IN MIDST OF BACKED SLY/SELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW
ACROSS ERN PORTION OF LOWER MI WHERE 0-1 KM SHEAR WILL BE MAXIMIZED.

..GUYER.. 07/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DTX...APX...IWX...GRR...

44058645 44248475 43908273 42818203 41788295 41868414
41838506 41858639 42358632 43018637 

WWWW