[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 051740
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051740 
NEZ000-KSZ000-COZ000-SDZ000-WYZ000-051945-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1520
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1240 PM CDT MON JUL 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN NEB...NERN CO...NWRN KS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 051740Z - 051945Z

THUNDERSTORMS WILL DEVELOP OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS...WITH
DAMAGING WIND GUSTS POSSIBLE.

VISIBLE SATELLITE IMAGERY SHOWS CUMULUS DEVELOPING FROM SWRN SD INTO
SERN WY...AS WELL AS N CENTRAL CO...AHEAD OF STRONG UPPER SHORTWAVE.
 STRONG HEATING AHEAD OF SURFACE COLD FRONT ALONG A CDR - CYS LINE
ALONG WITH RAPID COOLING ALOFT WILL STEEPEN LAPSE RATES AND INCREASE
INSTABILITY.

MBW PROFILER IN SERN WY INDICATES STRONG WLY FLOW OF 30-55 KTS ABOVE
2 KM AGL.  THIS WIND ENERGY WILL HELP PRODUCE FAST SELY STORM
MOTIONS OF 25-35 MPH.  FAST MOTIONS COMBINED WITH LOWERING SURFACE
RH LEVELS SUGGEST DAMAGING WINDS WILL BE POSSIBLE.  HAIL WILL BE
LIKELY AS WELL WITH THE STRONGEST CELLS...BUT WILL NOT BE
PARTICULARLY LARGE DUE TO MARGINAL INSTABILITY.

..JEWELL.. 07/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GID...LBF...UNR...GLD...BOU...CYS...

39360510 40430497 40990412 41510375 42230316 43050256
42289999 40239994 39310103 

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