[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 030832
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 030832 
TXZ000-OKZ000-031030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1481
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0332 AM CDT SAT JUL 03 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NWRN TX...SWRN OK

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 538...

VALID 030832Z - 031030Z

SEVERE MCS MOVING SEWD AT 45-50KT ACROSS THE RED RIVER AND INTO NWRN
TX EARLY TODAY. SYSTEM APPEARS TO HAVE DEVELOPED A SMALL MESOLOW
WITH WELL DEFINED OUTFLOW BOUNDARY EXTENDING FROM THE LOW SWWD INTO
NWRN TX. MESOSCALE ASCENT NEAR THE LOW AND ON THE OUTFLOW SHOULD
CONTINUE TO SUSTAIN STRONG UPDRAFTS EARLY TODAY DESPITE RELATIVELY
HIGH CONVECTIVE INHIBITION ACROSS NWRN TX.

A NEW WATCH WILL BE NEEDED AHEAD OF THIS COMPLEX GIVEN STRONG SEWD
PROPAGATION...UNSTABLE AIRMASS...AND MESOSCALE FORCING FOR ASCENT. A
CORRIDOR OF WIND DAMAGE POTENTIAL SHOULD DEVELOP SEWD ACROSS THE DFW
AREA IN THE NEXT 1-2 HOURS.

..CARBIN.. 07/03/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...FWD...OUN...SJT...

32689627 32629860 34579981 34239692 

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