[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 231925
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 231923 
MOZ000-232030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2084
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0223 PM CDT MON AUG 23 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NRN MO

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 231923Z - 232030Z

CONVECTIVE LINE WILL CONTINUE TO HAVE A SEVERE THREAT OVER THE NEXT
HOUR OR SO. ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT WITH THE
ACTIVITY.

WATER VAPOR IMAGERY CURRENTLY SHOWS A SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER ERN KS.
STRONG LARGE-SCALE ASCENT AHEAD OF THE WAVE COMBINED WITH LOW-LEVEL
WARM ADVECTION...IS SUPPORTING WIDESPREAD CONVECTION OVER MO WITH A
CONVECTIVE LINE ORGANIZING OVER NW MO. ALTHOUGH THE AIRMASS AHEAD OF
THE LINE IS WORKED OVER...OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS SHOWS A 700 MB JET MAX
OF 30 KT BEHIND THE LINE WHICH IS ENHANCING SHEAR AND STEEPENING
LAPSE RATES IN THE VICINITY OF THE LINE. AS THE LINE MOVES EWD AT 35
TO 40 MPH...THE SPEED OF THE LINE COMBINED WITH THE SHEAR ASSOCIATED
WITH THE 700 MB JET...WILL RESULT IN AN ISOLATED WIND DAMAGE
POTENTIAL FOR AT LEAST ANOTHER HOUR OR SO.

..BROYLES.. 08/23/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LSX...DVN...SGF...EAX...

38539386 39709388 40399313 40409158 38849140 

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