[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 190241
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 190240 
INZ000-ILZ000-IAZ000-MOZ000-190415-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2044
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0940 PM CDT WED AUG 18 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN IA / NERN MO / CENTRAL IL / SRN IND

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 760...761...

VALID 190240Z - 190415Z

MCS IS MOVING SEWD ACROSS ERN PORTIONS OF WW 760 / WRN PORTIONS OF
WW 761...BUT WATCHES WILL LIKELY BE ALLOWED TO EXPIRE AS SCHEDULED
AT 19/04Z.

LATEST RADAR VELOCITY DATA SHOWS 36 TO 50 KT MAXIMUM LOW-LEVEL WINDS
ASSOCIATED WITH STRONGEST PORTION OF MCS -- A BOWING SEGMENT AND
ASSOCIATED MESOLOW MOVING ACROSS PEORIA AND TAZEWELL COUNTIES AND
INTO WRN PORTIONS OF WOODFORD AND MCLEAN COUNTIES IN IL.

ELSEWHERE...ALTHOUGH STORMS WILL LIKELY PERSIST THROUGH THE EVENING
WITHIN BROAD AREA OF WARM ADVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH STRENGTHENING
LOW-LEVEL JET...DIURNAL STABILIZATION OF LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS SUGGESTS
THAT OVERALL SEVERE THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE TO DECREASE WITH TIME. 
THEREFORE...NEW WW NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

..GOSS.. 08/19/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...IND...LOT...ILX...LSX...DVN...EAX...

39899351 40439272 40669025 40848957 40228717 39278866
39849136 

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