[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 142229
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 142228 
DEZ000-MDZ000-VAZ000-NCZ000-150000-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2005
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0528 PM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...EXTREME ERN NC AND SERN VA/COASTAL MD

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 753...

VALID 142228Z - 150000Z

TORNADO THREAT CONTINUES FOR MAINLY EXTREME ERN NC AND SERN VA.
TORNADO WATCH MAY NOT BE EXTENDED NWD AS CHARLEY CONTINUES TO WEAKEN
AND THE MAIN CONVECTIVE BAND IS EXPECTED TO SHIFT MOSTLY OFFSHORE
DURING THE NEXT FEW HOURS. 

AT 22Z...RADAR INDICATES THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED NEAR THE NC/VA BORDER ABOUT 20 NNW ECG. THE MOTION THE PAST
COUPLE OF HOURS HAS BEEN NNEWD NEAR 30 KT...WHICH PLACES THE CENTER
NEAR ORF AT 00Z AND ABOUT 15 NE WAL AT 03Z. THE WINDS IN THE SYSTEM
CONTINUE TO SLOWLY WEAKEN...THOUGH SUFFICIENT SHEAR EXISTS FOR
TORNADOES...ESPECIALLY IN THE MOST ERN BAND THAT EXTENDS FROM NEAR
ORF TO 10 EAST ECG TO 25 W HSE. HOWEVER...AS THE CENTER CONTINUES TO
MOVE NNEWD...THE BAND ON THE EAST SIDE OF CHARLEY WILL REMAIN MOSTLY
OFF SHORE. AN ISOLATED TORNADO OR TWO WILL BE POSSIBLE NEAR THE
CENTER AS IT TRACKS JUST TO THE EAST OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY...BUT
GIVEN THE SMALL AREA AND WITH THE GREATEST TORNADO THREAT EXPECTED
TO BE OFFSHORE...ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM.

..IMY.. 08/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...PHI...AKQ...MHX...

35097599 35837597 36597669 38587494 37777418 

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