[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 141238
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 141237 
VAZ000-NCZ000-SCZ000-141430-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2000
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0737 AM CDT SAT AUG 14 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...ERN SC...ERN NC...SE VA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 752...

VALID 141237Z - 141430Z

THE TORNADO THREAT WILL CONTINUE AS HURRICANE CHARLEY APPROACHES THE
NORTHEAST COAST OF SOUTH CAROLINA OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS.

THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY IS CURRENTLY JUST EAST OF CHARLESTON
WITH A NNEWD MOVEMENT AT ABOUT 35 MPH. RAINBANDS AHEAD OF THE CENTER
ARE SPREADING INLAND ACROSS ERN SC AND ERN NC. THE MHX 12Z SOUNDING
SHOWS 1700 J/KG OF MLCAPE WITH 30 TO 35 KT OF DEEP LAYER SHEAR. THIS
WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR MINI-SUPERCELLS. STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR...LCL
HEIGHTS AROUND 500 METERS AND THE FAST FORWARD SPEED OF THE
HURRICANE...WILL BE FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES WITH SUPERCELLS EMBEDDED
IN THE HEAVY RAIN. THE TORNADO THREAT SHOULD CONTINUE THROUGH THE
MORNING HOURS AS HURRICANE CHARLEY APPROACHES AND EVENTUALLY MAKES
LANDFALL BETWEEN MYRTLE BEACH SC AND WILMINGTON NC.

AS FURTHER HEATING OCCURS AND STRONG LOW-LEVEL SHEAR SPREADS NWD...
ADDITIONAL WW MAY BE REQUIRED IN THE NEXT HOUR OR TWO NW INTO
REMAINDER OF NERN NC...SERN VA AND PSBLY SERN MD.

..BROYLES/EVANS.. 08/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...AKQ...MHX...RAH...ILM...CHS...CAE...

36317518 34897598 32657783 32127912 32738040 33498046
35367933 37397758 37787678 37467564 36867507 

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