[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 140003
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 140002 
FLZ000-140100-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1995
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0702 PM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FLORIDA PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 750...

VALID 140002Z - 140100Z

TORNADOES CONTINUE TO BE A THREAT...ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EASTERN FL
PENINSULA.

NEAR 00Z....RADAR INDICATED THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY WAS
LOCATED 30 NW AGR AND MOVING NNEWD AT 22 KT. IF THIS SPEED AND
DIRECTION CONTINUE...THE CENTER WOULD BE LOCATED CLOSE TO ORL AROUND
01Z AND ABOUT 15 SW DAB AT 03Z. TORNADOES REMAIN A STRONG
POSSIBILITY...ESPECIALLY NEAR AND ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE EYE WALL 
...WHERE 1KM SRH HAS INCREASED TO 300 S2/M2. A BAND OF STORMS FROM
40 NW ORL TO NEAR DAB IS ALSO IN AN AREA OF FAVORABLE LOW LEVEL
SHEAR FOR TORNADOES. THIS BAND IS MOVING NWWD AT 35 KT.

BANDS OF CONVECTION ON THE E-SE OF THE EYE WALL CONVECTION FROM FMY
TO WEST OF VRB ARE IN AN ENVIRONMENT OF WEAK LOW LEVEL SHEAR...BUT
THE VERY MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER MAY SUPPORT A TORNADO OR TWO IN THESE
BANDS.

..IMY.. 08/14/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

27828149 28438176 28908186 29278158 29178081 27758026
26748029 26098090 25888136 26518218 26788161 27388119 

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