[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 132214
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 132214 
FLZ000-132315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1993
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0514 PM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...FLORIDA PENINSULA

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 750...

VALID 132214Z - 132315Z

TORNADOES REMAIN LIKELY ACROSS MOST OF THE FL PENINSULA.

AT 600 PM...RADAR INDICATED THAT THE CENTER OF HURRICANE CHARLEY
WAS LOCATED 40 WSW ABR MOVING NNEWD AT 20 KT. IF THIS TRACK AND
SPEED CONTINUES...THE CENTER OF THE SYSTEM WOULD BE LOCATED NEAR ORL
AT 01Z.

TORNADOES ARE CERTAINLY POSSIBLE IMMEDIATELY NORTHEAST AND EAST OF
THE INTENSE EYE WALL WHERE 1KM SRH IS NEAR 200 M2/S2. AN OUTER BAND
OF INTENSE STORMS THAT MAY ALSO PRODUCE TORNADOES...EXTENDED FROM 50
S GNV TO 15 ESE ORL AND WAS MOVING NWWD AT 35-40 KT. ANOTHER STRONG
BAND OF CONVECTION WAS LOCATED SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER FROM 45 SW
VRB TO 55 W PBI TO 45 SSE FMY. THIS BAND IS LOCATED WITHIN A VERY
WARM/MOIST BOUNDARY LAYER WITH TEMPERATURES IN THE MID/UPPER 80S AND
DEWPOINTS IN THE MID/UPPER 70S. THE 1KM SHEAR IS AROUND 100
M2/S2...BUT THE LOW LEVEL THERMODYNAMIC CONDITIONS ARE MORE
FAVORABLE FOR TORNADOES THAN NEAR THE EYE WALL.

FOR MORE INFORMATION ON HURRICANE CHARLEY...REFER TO LATEST
BULLETINS FROM THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER.

..IMY.. 08/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...TBW...JAX...

26238180 26908154 27318151 27478191 28108218 28678273
29368276 29288155 28748114 26938015 26248039 25518121 

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