[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 130622
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 130621 
FLZ000-130815-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1985
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0121 AM CDT FRI AUG 13 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SRN FL

CONCERNING...TORNADO WATCH 748...

VALID 130621Z - 130815Z

AS HURRICANE CHARLIE APPROACHES SRN FL LATE T0NIGHT...THE THREAT
WILL EXIST FOR TORNADOES AND VERY HEAVY RAIN.

KEY WEST FL RADAR CURRENTLY SHOWS HURRICANE CHARLIE NOW MOVING
OFFSHORE FROM CUBA INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO. A HEAVY RAINBAND IS
CURRENTLY MOVING NWD INTO SCNTRL FL AND DRY AIR SPIRALING INTO THE
HURRICANE FROM THE SE WILL LIKELY RESULT IN A TEMPORARY LULL IN
HEAVY RAINBAND ACTIVITY OVER FAR SRN FL FOR THE NEXT FEW HOURS.
HOWEVER...AS THE EYE APPROACHES WRN FL LATE TONIGHT...HEAVY
RAINBANDS JUST NORTH AND EAST OF THE EYE WILL ORGANIZE AND SPREAD
INLAND ACROSS SOUTH FL. FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR KEY WEST LATE TONIGHT
SHOW STRONGLY VEERED WIND PROFILES FROM THE SFC TO 2 KM. THIS
COMBINED WITH MLCAPE VALUES OF 1500 TO 2500 J/KG WILL BE FAVORABLE
FOR AN ISOLATED TORNADO THREAT. THE THREAT WILL CONTINUE THROUGH
DAYBREAK AS THE EYEWALL MOVES NWD IN THE GULF OF MEXICO SW OF THE FL
KEYS.

..BROYLES.. 08/13/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...MFL...MLB...EYW...TBW...

25967969 24827979 24048014 23888141 24208237 25108265
25938262 26978236 27288151 27198055 26857985 

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