[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 122322
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 122321 
OKZ000-TXZ000-130115-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1982
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0621 PM CDT THU AUG 12 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN/CNTRL OK AND TX PANHANDLE INTO NORTH TX

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 747...

VALID 122321Z - 130115Z

DAMAGING WIND GUSTS/LARGE HAIL THREAT CONTINUES ACROSS WW
747...NAMELY ACROSS TX PANHANDLE AND SW/SCNTRL OK. ADDITIONAL WW
ISSUANCE SWD INTO N TX IS UNLIKELY.

STORMS WITH HISTORY OF LARGE HAIL/DAMAGING WIND GUSTS WILL CONTINUE
TO SPREAD SEWD OVER NEXT SEVERAL HOURS. AIRMASS REMAINS UNSTABLE
/MLCAPE 750-1250 J/KG PER LATEST OBJECTIVE ANALYSIS/ INVOF ONGOING
TSTMS ALONG AND SOUTH OF I-40 CORRIDOR FROM NEAR AMA TOWARD THE OKC
METRO AREA. AMBIENT WIND PROFILES /40-45 KTS DEEP LAYER SHEAR PER
REGIONAL PROFILERS/ WILL REMAIN FAVORABLE FOR ORGANIZED SEVERE
STORMS/MID LEVEL STORM ROTATION.

FURTHER SOUTH...ALTHOUGH ISOLD SEVERE MAY BE POSSIBLE INVOF RED
RIVER...PROGRESSIVELY DRIER/STABLE DOWNSTREAM AIRMASS ACROSS N TX
SUGGESTS ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE IS UNLIKELY.

..GUYER.. 08/12/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...TSA...FWD...OUN...SJT...LUB...AMA...MAF...

35930294 36779634 34009638 33299660 32789739 32599944
32590151 32650231 33210293 

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