[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 102248
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 102247 
KSZ000-TXZ000-OKZ000-COZ000-NMZ000-102345-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1947
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0547 PM CDT TUE AUG 10 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WRN KS...OK PANHANDLE...TX PANHANDLE

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 102247Z - 102345Z

...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH WILL BE ISSUED SOON FOR PORTIONS OF THE
CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS...

CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ACROSS SERN CO/NERN
NM AHEAD OF APPARENT SHORTWAVE TROUGH DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE
CENTRAL ROCKIES.  THIS ACTIVITY WILL ENCOUNTER INCREASINGLY
MOIST/UNSTABLE AIRMASS ACROSS THE HIGH PLAINS AND LIKELY INCREASE IN
INTENSITY/AREAL COVERAGE OVER THE NEXT FEW HOURS...WITH TIME
POSSIBLY EVOLVING INTO AN MCS AS IT SPREADS INTO THE TX PANHANDLE.

FARTHER NORTH...WARM ADVECTION IS INCREASING ACROSS WRN KS WITH
CONVECTION NOW BEGINNING TO DEVELOP ALONG FRONTAL ZONE FROM ECNTRL
CO INTO WCNTRL KS.  THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD SLOWLY ORGANIZE THEN SPREAD
SEWD ACROSS WRN KS THIS EVENING.  LARGE HAIL SHOULD BE THE PRIMARY
SEVERE THREAT. WW WILL BE ISSUED SOON.

..DARROW.. 08/10/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DDC...GLD...AMA...PUB...ABQ...

36340336 36990211 39090199 38950018 36090020 35160290 

WWWW