[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 062329
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 062329 
TXZ000-070030-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1905
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0629 PM CDT FRI AUG 06 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...WEST TEXAS

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 716...

VALID 062329Z - 070030Z

STRONG TO SEVERE STORMS CONTINUE IN THE TEXAS PANHANDLE BETWEEN LBB
AND AMA. STATIONARY FRONT IS LOCATED ALONG THE NM/TX BORDER...WITH
ELY BOUNDARY LAYER FLOW IN THE TX PANHANDLE RESULTING IN SUFFICIENT
CONVERGENCE/LIFT FOR STORMS. THE STORMS SHOULD MOVE/DEVELOP SSEWD
ALONG AN INSTABILITY GRADIENT LOCATED EAST OF THE FRONT. DESPITE
WEAK ENVIRONMENTAL WINDS...STORMS SHOULD REMAIN STRONG/SEVERE 
NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS GIVEN MLCAPES NEAR 3000 J/KG AND DIRECTIONAL
SHEAR. THE DEEP MOIST VERTICAL PROFILES INDICATE THAT SEVERE HAIL
WILL BE THE MAIN THREAT...ALONG WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL.

..IMY.. 08/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...LUB...AMA...

35160293 35340203 35110107 34130106 33060111 33580288 

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