[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 060215
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 060215 
MTZ000-060315-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1899
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0915 PM CDT THU AUG 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...NE MT

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 714...

VALID 060215Z - 060315Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT CONTINUES FOR NE MT...WATCH 714 REMAINS IN
EFFECT.

A LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS LOCATED OVER NE MT WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE TO
THE N TO NE INTO PHILLIPS...GARFIELD...AND PETROLEUM COUNTIES. 
STORMS HAVE BEEN FAIRLY DISORGANIZED THOUGH SOME EVIDENCE EXISTS OF
A DEVELOPING COLD POOL BEHIND THE CONVECTIVE LINE...WITH COOLER
TEMPERATURES AND WESTERLY WINDS OBSERVED AT HVR AND LWT OVER THE
PAST COUPLE OF HORUS.  THIS LINE OF STORMS CONTINUES TO MOVE INTO A
INSTABILITY AXIS WITH MLCAPES APPROACHING 1500
J/KG...HOWEVER...CONVECTIVE INHIBITION HAS BEEN INCREASING AHEAD OF
THE LINE OF THUNDERSTORMS...AND AS THE STORMS MOVE INTO THIS
ENVIRONMENT THEY COULD BECOME MORE ELEVATED WITH TIME. GIVEN
MODERATELY UNSTABLE AIRMASS AND STRONG SFC-6KM SHEAR OF AROUND 50
KTS...STORMS STILL HAVE THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS AND
LARGE HAIL.

..LEVIT.. 08/06/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GGW...TFX...

46910453 48850408 48851004 46901025 

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