[MCD] SWOMCD

MCD at goshenarc.org MCD at goshenarc.org
Thu Aug 5 19:13:28 UTC 2004


ACUS11 KWNS 051911
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 051911 
GAZ000-ALZ000-052045-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1892
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0211 PM CDT THU AUG 05 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...PARTS OF NERN AL / NRN GA...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL 

VALID 051911Z - 052045Z

THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE TO DEVELOP ALONG WEAK CONVERGENCE AXIS ACROSS
THIS REGION.  ALTHOUGH A FEW PULSE-TYPE SEVERE STORMS CAN BE
EXPECTED...WIDESPREAD THREAT REQUIRING WW ISSUANCE NOT ANTICIPATED
ATTM.

MOIST AIRMASS REMAINS IN PLACE ACROSS MUCH OF AL / GA...WHERE WEAK /
ROUGHLY W-E BOUNDARY CONTINUES SAGGING SWD IN CONJUNCTION WITH
DIGGING MID-LEVEL TROUGH.  STRONGEST WIND FIELD ASSOCIATED WITH THIS
TROUGH GENERALLY EXTENDS FROM NERN GA NEWD ACROSS THE
CAROLINAS...WHILE FLOW WEAKENS WITH SWWD EXTENT INTO AL. 
NONETHELESS...1000 TO 2000 J/KG MEAN-LAYER CAPE NOW INDICATED ACROSS
THIS AREA WILL FUEL CONTINUED THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT.  STORMS WILL
REMAIN GENERALLY DISORGANIZED -- PARTICULARLY FROM WRN GA WWD -- BUT
LOCALLY STRONG / DAMAGING GUSTS AND HAIL EXCEEDING SEVERE CRITERIA
WILL STILL BE POSSIBLE WITH ISOLATED STRONGER UPDRAFT PULSES.

..GOSS.. 08/05/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...GSP...FFC...BMX...HUN...

34498567 34418340 33168307 32598570 33538727 34188735 

WWWW





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