[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 042040
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 042039 
WVZ000-VAZ000-KYZ000-OHZ000-TNZ000-INZ000-ILZ000-042215-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1885
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0339 PM CDT WED AUG 04 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...CENTRAL AND ERN KY / SWRN WV / WRN VA...

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 707...

VALID 042039Z - 042215Z

STRONG / SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CONTINUE MOVING ESEWD ACROSS WW.

LATEST RADAR IMAGERY SHOWS FAIRLY ORGANIZED LINE OF STORMS EXTENDING
FROM S CENTRAL OH WSWWD INTO WRN KY...WHERE MOIST LOW-LEVEL AIRMASS
COMBINED WITH DAYTIME HEATING HAS RESULTED IN 1000 TO 2000 J/KG
MEAN-LAYER CAPE.

ALTHOUGH LOW-LEVEL WIND FIELD AHEAD OF THIS LINE IS FAIRLY WEAK
/GENERALLY 20 KT OR LESS THROUGH 700 MB ACCORDING TO JACKSON KY AND
CHARLESTON WV RADARS/. NONETHELESS...25 TO 35 KT FLOW AT MID-LEVELS
IS CONTRIBUTING TO SHEAR PROFILES SUPPORTIVE OF A CONTINUED THREAT
FOR LOCALLY DAMAGING WINDS AND SOME HAIL.

STORMS HAVE DEVELOPED WWD INTO WRN KY...AND MAY SPREAD SLOWLY SWD
INTO NRN PORTIONS OF TN AS WELL.  IT APPEARS THAT WIND FIELD MAY BE
MARGINALLY SUPPORTIVE OF LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS ACROSS THIS
REGION...AND WE WILL MONITOR THESE AREAS FOR ADDITIONAL WW ISSUANCE.
 HOWEVER...IT APPEARS ATTM THAT MAJORITY OF SEVERE THREAT SHOULD
REMAIN CONFINED TO AREAS WITHIN WW 707.

..GOSS.. 08/04/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...RNK...RLX...MRX...JKL...ILN...LMK...OHX...PAH...MEG...

38868140 38688065 37118115 36218569 36258856 37388879
38508679 

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