[MCD] SWOMCD

[MCD at goshenarc.org]

ACUS11 KWNS 021142
SWOMCD
SPC MCD 021141 
WIZ000-MNZ000-SDZ000-NDZ000-021245-

MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 1830
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0641 AM CDT MON AUG 02 2004

AREAS AFFECTED...SERN ND INTO CNTRL MN

CONCERNING...SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WATCH 685...

VALID 021141Z - 021245Z

SEVERE WEATHER THREAT IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN ISOLATED FOR THE NEXT
SEVERAL HOURS AND A DOWNSTREAM WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED.

BOW ECHO WITH WELL-DEFINED COMMA HEAD CONTINUES TRACK SEWD AT
35-40KTS ACROSS PORTIONS OF E-CNTRL MN EARLY THIS MORNING. DESPITE
IT/S ORGANIZED APPEARANCE...LOCAL SURFACE OBSERVATIONS SAMPLING THE
ASSOCIATED GUST FRONT INDICATE WIND GUSTS TO 30-35KTS. INSPECTION OF
RUC FORECAST SOUNDINGS FROM THE INFLOW REGION SUGGESTS THAT COMPLEX
MAY BE SLIGHTLY ELEVATED ABOVE A SHALLOW INVERSION LAYER WHICH MAY
BE EFFECTIVELY DILUTING THE STRONGEST DOWNDRAFTS.

THOUGH A DAMAGING WIND GUST OR TWO WILL REMAIN POSSIBLE...POTENTIAL
MORE WIDESPREAD DAMAGING WINDS MAY NOT OCCUR UNTIL LATER THIS
MORNING WHEN INFLOW BOUNDARY-LAYER CAN WARM/DEEPEN. THUS...AN
ADDITIONAL WW IS NOT ANTICIPATED ATTM OVER W-CNTRL WI.

FARTHER UPSTREAM...ISOLATED DAMAGING WINDS AND LARGE HAIL WILL
REMAIN POSSIBLE WITH STORM OVER OTTER TAIL COUNTY AS IT MOVES SEWD.

..MEAD.. 08/02/2004

...PLEASE SEE WWW.SPC.NOAA.GOV FOR GRAPHIC PRODUCT...

ATTN...WFO...DLH...MPX...FGF...ABR...

45089547 47099840 47159542 45099269 

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