[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Jan 29 06:34:53 UTC 2007


ACUS02 KWNS 290639
SWODY2
SPC AC 290638

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1238 AM CST MON JAN 29 2007

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
CHANGES ARE FORECAST WITH THE UPPER PATTERN THIS PERIOD...AS TWO
PRONOUNCED SMALLER-SCALE PERTURBATIONS PROGRESS THROUGH THE ERN U.S.
MEAN TROUGH AND THE W COAST REX BLOCK BREAKS DOWN.

THE BREAKDOWN OF THE REX BLOCK WILL BE THE ONLY CHANGE OF ANY
SIGNIFICANCE WITH RESPECT TO THUNDERSTORM POTENTIAL -- AS STEEPER
LAPSE RATES OVER AZ ASSOCIATED WITH THE SEWD APPROACH OF THE UPPER
LOW MAY RESULT IN MINIMAL CAPE.  THOUGH POSSIBLY SUFFICIENT FOR A
FEW ISOLATED LIGHTNING STRIKES...IT APPEARS ATTM THAT OVERALL
LIGHTNING COVERAGE SHOULD REMAIN SUFFICIENTLY LOW TO PRECLUDE THE
ISSUANCE OF AN OUTLOOK AREA ATTM.  ELSEWHERE ACROSS THE
CONUS...THUNDERSTORMS ARE NOT ANTICIPATED.

..GOSS.. 01/29/2007








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