[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Mon Jan 22 06:25:14 UTC 2007


ACUS02 KWNS 220630
SWODY2
SPC AC 220628

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1228 AM CST MON JAN 22 2007

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

THE POLAR JET IS EXPECTED TO BECOME MORE ACTIVE THROUGH THE WEEK
WITH AN INITIAL SHORTWAVE TROUGH MOVING FROM THE CNTRL PORTION OF
THE COUNTRY TO OFF THE ERN SEABOARD BY TUE AFTN.  THIS DISTURBANCE
WILL FLATTEN THE LARGE UPPER RIDGE OVER THE SWRN ATLANTIC...WITH A 
COLD FRONT LIKELY MOVING THROUGH ALL OF FL AND THE CNTRL GULF OF
MEXICO.  THE INCREASING NWLY FLOW REGIME ACROSS THESE REGIONS WILL
REINFORCE THE FLOW OF CONTINENTAL POLAR AIR WELL S AND PROSPECTS OF
DEEP MOIST CONVECTION IS VERY LOW TO NIL OVER THE ERN STATES.

MEANWHILE...AS THE WEST COAST RIDGE BUILDS NWD...THE CUT-OFF LOW
MOVING INTO NRN MEXICO WILL REMAIN THERE.  TSTMS ASSOCIATED WITH
THIS SYSTEM SHOULD REMAIN SOUTH IN MEXICO WHERE STEEPER LAPSE RATES
BECOME COINCIDENT WITH NWRN EDGE OF THE SUB-TROPICAL JET.

..RACY.. 01/22/2007








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