[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Sun Oct 29 17:11:07 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 291714
SWODY2
SPC AC 291713

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1113 AM CST SUN OCT 29 2006

VALID 301200Z - 311200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SYNOPSIS...
PHASED NRN AND SRN STREAM TROUGHS WILL MOVE EWD ACROSS THE PLAINS
THIS PERIOD.  AS THIS OCCURS...A SURFACE COLD FRONT WILL SURGE SEWD
ACROSS THE PLAINS...AND SHOULD EXTEND FROM THE UPPER GREAT LAKES
REGION SSWWD INTO THE MID MS/LOWER OH VALLEY...AND THEN SWWD ACROSS
THE ARKLATEX INTO TX.  CAPPING COMBINED WITH A GENERAL LACK OF
LOW-LEVEL MOISTURE/INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT CONVECTIVE POTENTIAL
ALONG MOST OF FRONTAL ZONE THROUGH THE END OF THE PERIOD.

...SERN KS/ERN OK/MO/SRN IL/AR...
GREATEST CONVECTIVE THREAT APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS PARTS OF MO
DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THIS PERIOD...AS LIMITED BOUNDARY LAYER
MOISTURE RETURNS NWD FROM THE GULF INTO MO/ERN OK/AR AHEAD OF FRONT.
 THOUGH LOW-LEVEL CAPPING AND MINIMAL INSTABILITY SHOULD LIMIT
POTENTIAL COVERAGE AND INTENSITY OF CONVECTION...DEGREE OF QG
FORCING SUGGESTS THAT SCATTERED/WEAK STORM DEVELOPMENT MAY OCCUR
INVOF FRONT AFTER SUNSET.  WITH INSTABILITY FORECAST TO BE
MINIMAL...WILL NOT INTRODUCE ANY SEVERE PROBABILITIES ATTM.

..GOSS.. 10/29/2006








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