[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 210431
SWODY2
SPC AC 210430

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1130 PM CDT FRI OCT 20 2006

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN U.S...

STRONG SFC FRONT WILL MOVE ACROSS THE CNTRL GULF STATES INTO CNTRL
FL PENINSULA BY THE END OF THE PERIOD AS UPSTREAM RIDGE BUILDS INTO
THE SRN PLAINS.  DEEP LAYER FLOW WILL VEER AHEAD OF FRONTAL PASSAGE
ACROSS THE SERN U.S. AND MID LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL REMAIN QUITE
WEAK...ON THE ORDER OF 5-5.5 C/KM...WITHIN THE WARM SECTOR.  ANY
THUNDERSTORMS THAT DEVELOP IN ASSOCIATION WITH FRONTAL PASSAGE
SHOULD DO SO WITHIN A THERMODYNAMIC ENVIRONMENT NOT PARTICULARLY
CONDUCIVE FOR STRONG/ROBUST UPDRAFTS.  IN ADDITION...MEAN FLOW
SHOULD BE ROUGHLY 25KT SUGGESTING ANY STORMS THAT DEVELOP WILL
MAINTAIN MULTI-CELL CHARACTERISTICS.  FURTHERMORE...MAJORITY OF DEEP
CONVECTION WILL LIKELY CONCENTRATE OFFSHORE OVER WARMER WATERS OF
THE GULF OF MEXICO...AND OVER THE GULF STREAM OFF THE FL/CAROLINA
COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD.

..DARROW.. 10/21/2006