[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 220530
SWODY2
SPC AC 220530

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1230 AM CDT SUN OCT 22 2006

VALID 231200Z - 241200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SOUTH FL...

WEAK WARM ADVECTION NEAR FRONTAL ZONE MAY PROVIDE SUFFICIENT ASCENT
FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS EARLY IN THE PERIOD ACROSS SOUTH FL. 
FORECAST SOUNDINGS FOR THIS REGION SUGGEST SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY
WILL EXIST THE FIRST 3-6 HOURS FOR ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS...HOWEVER
RAPIDLY WEAKENING LAPSE RATES AND COLD ADVECTION WILL NEGATE
CONVECTIVE THREAT BY 18Z.

...SWRN U.S...

MID LEVEL MOISTENING WILL SPREAD NWD ACROSS NWRN MEXICO TOWARD SRN
AZ DURING THE LATE AFTERNOON HOURS MONDAY.  WITH STEEP MID LEVEL
LAPSE RATES IN PLACE...IT APPEARS SUFFICIENT INSTABILITY WILL
DEVELOP WITHIN WARM CONVEYOR FOR A FEW THUNDERSTORMS AHEAD OF UPPER
TROUGH.  HOWEVER...MORE MEANINGFUL DEEP CONVECTION WILL REMAIN
SUPPRESSED SOUTH OF THE BORDER.

..DARROW.. 10/22/2006