[SWODY2] SWODY2

Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2 swody2 at goshenarc.org
Tue Nov 21 16:22:21 UTC 2006


ACUS02 KWNS 211625
SWODY2
SPC AC 211624

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1024 AM CST TUE NOV 21 2006

VALID 221200Z - 231200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...COASTAL SECTIONS OF NC/SERN VA/ERN SHORES MD...
STRONG UPPER LOW IS EXPECTED TO WOBBLE NWD ALONG THE SERN ATLANTIC
COAST TO THE NC OUTER BANKS BY 12Z THU.  WARM CONVEYOR WILL WRAP
GULF STREAM PARCELS TO NWRN QUADRANT OF THE MATURE LOW RESULTING IN
SUFFICIENT ELEVATED INSTABILITY FOR SPORADIC LIGHTNING STRIKES
WITHIN STRONGER ONSHORE BANDING STRUCTURES.  HIGHER TSTM
PROBABILITIES WILL BE CONFINED TO WED NIGHT ALONG THE NC OUTER BANKS
NWD TO THE ERN SHORES MD.

...PAC NW...
MAIN PORTION OF THE STUBBORN GULF OF AK UPPER LOW WILL DISLODGE AND
COME ASHORE THE PAC NW WED AFTN/NIGHT. H5 TEMPERATURES AOB MINUS 30
DEG C ASSOCD WITH THE TROUGH WILL SPREAD ACROSS WA...ORE...NRN CA
AND WRN ID DURING THE PROGRESS OF THE DAY.  HIGHEST TSTM
PROBABILITIES WILL FAVOR THE COASTAL RANGES WHERE THE MOIST UPSLOPE
FLOW COMBINES WITH THE STEEPENING MID-TROPOSPHERIC LAPSE RATES AND
CYCLONIC FLOW. TSTMS MAY ALSO OCCUR INLAND OVER THE HIGHER TERRAIN
OF ERN WA/ORE AND WRN ID WED NIGHT...BUT COVERAGE SHOULD BE ISOLD
AND LESS THAN 10 PERCENT.

..RACY.. 11/21/2006

WWWW





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