[SWODY2] SWODY2

[Severe Weather Outlook - Day 2]

ACUS02 KWNS 061724
SWODY2
SPC AC 061722

DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK  
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
1122 AM CST MON NOV 06 2006

VALID 071200Z - 081200Z

...NO SVR TSTM AREAS FORECAST...

...SERN U.S...

STRONG HEIGHT FALLS WILL SPREAD EWD ALONG THE CNTRL GULF COAST
REGION TUESDAY AS UPPER SPEED MAX TRANSLATES TOWARD THE FL
PANHANDLE/SRN AL EARLY IN THE PERIOD.  STRONG ASCENT WITHIN A
RECOVERING WARM ADVECTION REGIME WILL UNDOUBTEDLY ENHANCE THE
CONVECTIVE THREAT AHEAD OF COLD FRONT...AND ATOP COOLER RETREATING
BOUNDARY LAYER.  RELUCTANCE FOR AIRMASS RECOVERY WILL BE THE MAIN
IMPEDIMENT FOR SEVERE THUNDERSTORM DEVELOPMENT ACROSS THE CNTRL/ERN
GULF COAST...AND FL PENINSULA AS DEEP LAYER SHEAR WILL PROVE MORE
THAN ADEQUATE FOR SUSTAINING DEEP ROTATING UPDRAFTS.  AT THIS TIME
IT APPEARS WIDESPREAD SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS WILL EVOLVE WITHIN WEAK
LAPSE RATE/WARM CONVEYOR BELT...A CONTINUATION OF DAY1 ACTIVITY. 
THIS ACTIVITY SHOULD PROGRESS STEADILY TOWARD THE ATLANTIC COAST
WHERE INCREASING LLJ OFFSHORE MAY ALLOW SOMEWHAT MORE BUOYANT AIR TO
SPREAD JUST INLAND ALONG THE SC/NC COAST LATE IN THE PERIOD.  GIVEN
THE EXPECTED CLOUDS/PRECIPITATION...AND LACK OF INSTABILITY...IT
APPEARS GREATEST SEVERE POTENTIAL WILL BE LIMITED TO SUPERCELL
STRUCTURES NEAR THE COAST/OR MAINLY OFFSHORE...AND THIS ACTIVITY
SHOULD PROVE ISOLATED.

...ELSEWHERE...

DEEP CONVECTION MAY DEVELOP WITHIN STRONG BAROCLINIC ZONE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE NRN ROCKIES DURING THE LATTER HALF OF THE
PERIOD...MAINLY ACROSS THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS OF ID/WRN MT.  ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS COULD EVOLVE WITHIN THIS FRONTAL BAND AS IT SAGS SEWD
TOWARD THE SNAKE RIVER VALLEY.

..DARROW.. 11/06/2006